A new study published in The Lancet Public Health journal reveals that deaths from extreme heat in Europe are projected to rise sharply in the coming years, outstripping the expected slowdown in cold-related deaths. Currently, approximately 407,500 deaths in Europe are caused by extreme heat and cold each year, with an additional 55,000 people projected to die annually by the year 2100 if climate change is not sufficiently addressed.
The study, conducted by European Commission researchers, highlights that while cold weather currently accounts for the majority of temperature-related deaths in Europe, extreme heat will become a more lethal challenge in the future, particularly in southern regions and areas with aging populations. The analysis assumes a 3°C increase in global warming, double the 1.5°C goal set by the Paris Agreement.
Researchers identified hotspots where populations will be most affected by heat-related deaths in the future, predicting a rise in heat-related fatalities across the continent with Spain, Italy, Greece, and parts of France being the most affected. The study emphasizes the urgent need for targeted policies to protect vulnerable populations from extreme temperature extremes.
UN Secretary-General António Guterres recently called for international cooperation to address extreme heat, focusing on vulnerable groups, worker protection, and renewable energy investment. The study also highlights the importance of early warning systems and heat prevention plans to prevent preventable deaths. Beyond mortality, extreme heat has been linked to miscarriages, mental illness, wildfires, agricultural failures, and infrastructure problems.
The findings underscore the critical need for immediate action to combat climate change and implement effective policies to protect populations from the rising threat of extreme heat in Europe.
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